Cyclone
Intelligence
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ALERTS
Risk engine

Alerts & coastal risk

The risk engine turns the predicted track and wind into colour-coded warnings for each coastal location, with actions for authorities and advice for the public.

T+0h

Risk engine · alerts

Generated for authorities & public

Next 24 h track prediction

Kinematic motion model · 6-hourly · KD95 inland decay
Model
Predicted centre at +24 h
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Method: persistence of the last 12 h motion plus half of its recent acceleration, intensity trend over water, and Kaplan–DeMaria exponential wind decay after landfall. Cone radii (35 / 55 / 75 / 95 km) follow typical 6–24 h official track errors for the North Indian Ocean.

Impact assessment

Coastal locations ranked by forecast risk
GREENYELLOWORANGERED
LocationClosest approachETAExpected windRainfall (24 h)Storm surgeRisk scoreWarning

For authorities

Monitor & manage
Red

Order evacuation of low-lying coastal villages and kutcha houses. Open cyclone shelters, pre-position NDRF/SDRF teams, suspend port and fishing operations.

Orange

Recall fishing boats, prepare shelters, stock food, water and medicines, alert hospitals and power utilities, close schools if needed.

Yellow

Review district plans, check communication links, issue public advisories through local media and SMS.

For the public

View warnings & prepare
  • Follow IMD and district administration warnings on radio, TV and the MAUSAM app.
  • Keep an emergency kit: drinking water, dry food, torch, power bank, medicines and documents in a waterproof bag.
  • Fishermen should not go to sea when an Orange or Red alert is active.
  • Move to a cyclone shelter or a strong building early if you live near the coast or in a kutcha house.
  • During the storm stay indoors, away from windows. The calm of the eye is not the end: winds return from the other side.
  • Emergency numbers: 112 (all emergencies), 1070 (state disaster control room), 1077 (district control room).